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Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows
03-17-2014, 11:06 AM
Post: #1
Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows
5:38 AM Mar 17, 2014
What the Fox Knows
By Nate Silver

FiveThirtyEight is a data journalism organization. Let me explain what we mean by that, and why we think the intersection of data and journalism is so important.

If you’re a casual reader of FiveThirtyEight, you may associate us with election forecasting, and in particular with the 2012 presidential election, when our election model “called” 50 out of 50 states right.

<..> Instead, our forecasts stood out in comparison to others in the mainstream media. Commentators as prestigious as George F. Will and Michael Barone predicted not just a Mitt Romney win, but a Romney sweep in most or all of the swing states. Meanwhile, some news reporters defaulted to characterizing the races as “toss-ups” when the evidence suggested otherwise.1

[Image: 538_intro3.png?w=610&h=362]

<..> Our logo depicts a fox (we call him Fox No. 92) as an allusion to a phrase originally attributed to the Greek poet Archilochus: “The fox knows many things, but the hedgehog knows one big thing.” We take a pluralistic approach and we hope to contribute to your understanding of the news in a variety of ways.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-the-fox-knows/

Interesting insight into Nate Silver's launch of his new site. I admit, I'm a fan of his and will watch his site for things that make sense, which is hard to find these days.

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Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows #1 - jaxx - 03-17-2014, 11:06 AM
RE: Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows #2 - janedrake - 03-17-2014, 12:19 PM
RE: Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows #3 - jaxx - 03-17-2014, 12:27 PM
RE: Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows #4 - jaxx - 03-17-2014, 12:30 PM
RE: Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows #5 - janedrake - 03-17-2014, 01:20 PM
RE: Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows #6 - jaxx - 03-19-2014, 11:00 AM
[*]
03-17-2014, 12:19 PM
Post: #2
RE: Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows
Quite interesting. The site seems to be down at the moment, though. Will bookmark to visit later.
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03-17-2014, 12:27 PM
Post: #3
RE: Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows
(03-17-2014 12:19 PM)janedrake Wrote:  Quite interesting. The site seems to be down at the moment, though. Will bookmark to visit later.

May have been overrun with Nate fans. Wow

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03-17-2014, 12:30 PM
Post: #4
RE: Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows


I just tried and got in.

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03-17-2014, 01:20 PM
Post: #5
RE: Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows
Thanks, Jaxx -- was able to get in now, too. Wave
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03-19-2014, 11:00 AM
Post: #6
RE: Nate Silver-What the Fox Knows
New Republic Editor Rips Nate Silver's Data 'Intimidation'
Catherine Thompson – March 19, 2014, 11:37 AM EDT

The New Republic's literary editor Leon Wieseltier ripped Nate Silver's newly relaunched FiveThirtyEight website on Wednesday, urging readers to resist the "intimidation by quantification practiced by Silver and the other data mullahs."

<..> "The new technology, which produces numbers the way plants produce oxygen, has inspired a new positivism, and he is one of its princes. He dignifies only facts," he wrote. "He honors only investigative journalism, explanatory journalism, and data journalism. He does not take a side, except the side of no side. He does not recognize the calling of, or grasp the need for, public reason; or rather, he cannot conceive of public reason except as an exercise in statistical analysis and data visualization. He is the hedgehog who knows only one big thing. And his thing may not be as big as he thinks it is."

Wieseltier conceded that "the state of American punditry is not strong," but warned Silver that separating analysis from advocacy may not be the best way to improve public discourse.

"Neutrality is an evasion of responsibility, unless everything is like sports," he wrote. "Like Ezra Klein, whom he admires, Nate Silver had made a success out of an escape into diffidence. What is it about conviction that frightens these people?"

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/ne...ate-silver

He probably thought Willard would win too. Nate's got them scared because he dares to go against the conventional wisdom and prove they're full of it. Of course they're going to try to beat him down....just look at how they've treated Barack Obama's new idras!!

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