(01-23-2013 05:52 PM)pappy Wrote: On a scale of 1 to 10 (with 10 being most likely or best) how would you rate her on the following.
1. As compared to possible other prominent possible candidates?
2. Her favorability in the state?
3. Her political leaning (if 10 is Socialist and 1 is Corporatist)?
4. Her chances in a primary?
5. Her chances in the general election?
1 & 2: The other Democratic candidates talked about publicly are current Governor Pat Quinn and Bill Daley. Madigan is more popular both with Democrats and the general public. There was a PPP poll not long ago. http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/29...oks-strong
3. She's a progressive Democrat. She has done a few minor things I dislike, but in general, she has taken action for consumers, labor and the environment as Attorney General. I think most people would regard her as more progressive than Bill Daley. People would have considered Quinn to be more progressive at one point in time, but not since he has been Governor.
4. Almost certain to win the primary if she runs. Dick Durbin and her father, Mike Madigan, are the top party organization leaders in the state. Her popularity plus their support = huge victory.
5. Her chances to win the general election are very good, and certainly better than Quinn's.
Quinn has become very unpopular downstate due to his attack on public employee pensions and the closure of state facilities in small towns that depend on them, such as prisons, developmental centers, and unemployment offices. Government is the top employer outside the Chicago region so everyone downstate knows someone, or has a family member, who is effected by Quinn's actions. I don't see where he gets additional new votes in Chicago to make up for the landslide loss he will face downstate.