In electoral vote simulation, signs point to Obama

[jaxx]

September 19, 2012 10:58 AM
In electoral vote simulation, signs point to Obama



CBS News) The new CBS News/YouGov Electoral Vote Tracker - a computer simulation model of the Presidential race - shows that if President Obama were to win the national popular vote by three points (which is his current edge today in national polls) that would translate into 332 electoral votes for Mr. Obama and 206 for Mitt Romney on election night.

The model shows how the votes would most likely be distributed across all fifty states, if Mr. Obama's three-point lead held up on November 6th and that reveals which states would ultimately tilt to Mr. Obama, and which go to Romney.

<..> Importantly, it isn't a forecast - it is today's score. We've got six-plus weeks to go, and this can change. We'll re-run the simulation again in the coming weeks.

http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-5751...op.stories

Lookin good!!

[DFW]

Encouraging, but not the final result.

David Simas told me on July 27th that the election would be in the bag of held that day. But it wasn't held that day.

[pappy]

(09-20-2012 12:09 PM)DFW Wrote:  Encouraging, but not the final result.

David Simas told me on July 27th that the election would be in the bag of held that day. But it wasn't held that day.

I'm glad it wasn't held in July. Given the way Obama's numbers are climbing (for now) and the way his coattails are taking the down-ticket candidates up in the polls the over all trends seem to be good for the Dems the longer this goes.