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Death of the Austerity Fairy Tale?
05-02-2012, 08:42 AM
Post: #1
Death of the Austerity Fairy Tale?
Krugman It's a Zombie Thing

For the past two years most policy makers in Europe and many politicians and pundits in America have been in thrall to a destructive economic doctrine. According to this doctrine, governments should respond to a severely depressed economy not the way the textbooks say they should — by spending more to offset falling private demand — but with fiscal austerity, slashing spending in an effort to balance their budgets.

Critics warned from the beginning that austerity in the face of depression would only make that depression worse. But the “austerians” insisted that the reverse would happen. Why? Confidence! “Confidence-inspiring policies will foster and not hamper economic recovery,” declared Jean-Claude Trichet, the former president of the European Central Bank — a claim echoed by Republicans in Congress here. Or as I put it way back when, the idea was that the confidence fairy would come in and reward policy makers for their fiscal virtue.

The good news is that many influential people are finally admitting that the confidence fairy was a myth. The bad news is that despite this admission there seems to be little prospect of a near-term course change either in Europe or here in America, where we never fully embraced the doctrine, but have, nonetheless, had de facto austerity in the form of huge spending and employment cuts at the state and local level.
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05-04-2012, 01:31 PM
Post: #2
RE: Death of the Austerity Fairy Tale?
Read the rest of Jared Bernstein's Post Here

This just in: AUSTERITY DOESN'T WORK!

It doesn't work here, it doesn't work in Europe, it doesn't work for state and local governments. I'm tempted to ask how many data points we need to recognize this crucial economic truth, but I'm afraid data points don't have much to do with it.

Another weak jobs report for April, with only 115,000 jobs added -- 130,000 in the private sector -- and a lower-labor-force-induced tick down in unemployment, from 8.2% to 8.1%.

You can see the trend in payrolls in the figure below, with acceleration toward the end of last year morphing to deceleration over the past few months. After last month's disappointing report, I was careful to point out that "one month does not a trend make" and there are some technical reasons -- mostly seasonal adjustments that haven't caught up with unusually warm weather -- to consider as well.
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05-04-2012, 01:34 PM
Post: #3
RE: Death of the Austerity Fairy Tale?
We aren't fighting austerity enough. 92% of GDP growth is going to the top 2% or so. Think about that.

We seriously need to be enacting progressive taxation at both the federal and state levels and we even more seriously need to be spending more money on things like education and infrastructure.

And we cannot allow Romney to be elected. He's amassing all of the failed Bush era policy makers, who seem to be itching for another chance to fuck us over.

How can that be?
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05-07-2012, 03:19 PM
Post: #4
RE: Death of the Austerity Fairy Tale?
The death knell for austerity has sounded in Europe, without a doubt. It has spilled over into suspicion and outright rejection of conservatism in many quarters, too.

In a way, Sarkozy and his ilk have done us a great service.
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