I think Romney will win Michigan

[There Is No Spoon]

Between a barrage of negative ads from Romney's PAC, Adelson giving Newt $10M (that could suck votes away from Santorum), Republicans realizing that Santorum will lose badly to Obama and Santorum being his own worst enemy with his ridiculous misogynistic positions, I think Romney will pull it off.

What does DFP think?

[sandnsea]

I think it depends on who shows up to vote. If women vote, Romney will probably win. Regardless of what they say, I don't think most conservative women will be too thrilled with Santorums anti-birth control stance.

[There Is No Spoon]

(02-17-2012 10:05 PM)sandnsea Wrote:  I think it depends on who shows up to vote. If women vote, Romney will probably win. Regardless of what they say, I don't think most conservative women will be too thrilled with Santorums anti-birth control stance.

I don't know how else to describe Santorum except "Neanderthal". Nice thing about him getting a chance to be on the big stage, Republicans hoping for a return to the bigotry and misogyny of the 1950's are getting a dose of reality this year. Sorry grumpy old white men geezers, we're not heading back to the 50's "good ol' days". Not now, not ever.

[jaxx]

Romney may very well pull it off in MI. The primary isn't until the 28th and as we know, anything can happen in 2 weeks with this bunch. Better him than Santorum or Gingrich....though if Newt doesn't get moving he's DOA anyway.

[There Is No Spoon]

(02-17-2012 10:15 PM)jaxx Wrote:  Romney may very well pull it off in MI. The primary isn't until the 28th and as we know, anything can happen in 2 weeks with this bunch. Better him than Santorum or Gingrich....though if Newt doesn't get moving he's DOA anyway.

2 weeks and I've already seen a poll where Santorum is only up by 4. That's nothing in this crazy primary. Now, there is a small possibility that Republicans will get giddy over the idea of kicking fake plastic "say anything to get elected" Romney in the groin, if so this would be the time to do it (and you know Democrats will get giddy if he loses Michigan.)

[DFW]

It may turn out that Adelson's $10 million to Gingrich is what gives Michigan to Romney and takes it away from Santorum.

I don't know what Gingrich had to do to Adelson to convince him to cough up another $10 million, but I'm pretty sure I'm glad I wasn't there to witness it.

[SemiCharmedQuark]

I agree...I don't think there are enough crazies to make up for Romnwy's ads swaying more moderate voters

[janedrake]

Off-topic, but I think it's a shame that a dishonest, mediocre piece of work like Romney even has a chance in hell against one of the best presidents this nation has ever seen.

Given that, I think Romney will win -- even if it has to be by one of those "by eight votes" victories -- which later on will turn out to not be a victory, but by that time, who cares.

[Still a Democrat]

I hope you're wrong - I will be voting Santorum. Weaker general candidate and stretches out the repug race.

[There Is No Spoon]

(02-18-2012 02:15 PM)Still a Democrat Wrote:  I hope you're wrong - I will be voting Santorum. Weaker general candidate and stretches out the repug race.

I hope I'm wrong too.

[PoliticalTiger]

(02-18-2012 02:53 PM)There Is No Spoon Wrote:  

(02-18-2012 02:15 PM)Still a Democrat Wrote:  I hope you're wrong - I will be voting Santorum. Weaker general candidate and stretches out the repug race.

I hope I'm wrong too.

I hope you're wrong too! lol

Hopefully the religious right in Michigan will turn out for Santorum, and I don't think Romney is doing himself any favors with his relentless attacks on unions, but Willard does have the big bucks so it should be interesting to see what happens.

[sandnsea]

(02-18-2012 04:06 PM)PoliticalTiger Wrote:  

(02-18-2012 02:53 PM)There Is No Spoon Wrote:  I hope I'm wrong too.

I hope you're wrong too! lol

Hopefully the religious right in Michigan will turn out for Santorum, and I don't think Romney is doing himself any favors with his relentless attacks on unions, but Willard does have the big bucks so it should be interesting to see what happens.

One would think attacking unions in Michigan would be a horrifically bad idea. But when you think about the hard right, they hate unions. They see the bail out as a gift to unions at the expense of workers who have half the salary and no benefits. So if he's appealing to those right wingers, maybe they'll vote their perceived pocketbook over their perceived beliefs.

[jaxx]

Nate Silver @fivethirtyeight
Santroum's lead over Romney has slipped to 4 points in the new PPP poll of Michigan. bit.ly/wTZ9t9

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2...MI_219.pdf

[There Is No Spoon]

And here it is - Romney +2 on average going into primary week.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/...-1589.html

Santorum broke the insanometer.

[KonaKane]

Mittens will pull off a squeaker, which is great news for us in the general. Ayatollah Santorum has been kicking the stuffing out Romney in the primaries to significantly drain away alot of his money and support for the big one. Had Ricky actually made it to convention, the RNC would have appropriately been scared enough by the prospect of this whacko to represent them that they would have almost certainly brokered a new candidate. A complete wild card.

Best to go into the general knowing the devil you're gonna dance with, and that Ayatollah Santorum has done sufficient work on him to make him an easy walkover for Obama.

[Still a Democrat]

(02-26-2012 06:05 PM)KonaKane Wrote:  Mittens will pull off a squeaker, which is great news for us in the general. Ayatollah Santorum has been kicking the stuffing out Romney in the primaries to significantly drain away alot of his money and support for the big one. Had Ricky actually made it to convention, the RNC would have appropriately been scared enough by the prospect of this whacko to represent them that they would have almost certainly brokered a new candidate. A complete wild card.

Best to go into the general knowing the devil you're gonna dance with, and that Ayatollah Santorum has done sufficient work on him to make him an easy walkover for Obama.

I disagree. Santorum is not so anathema to the establishment that they'd move mountains to rip an earned nomination from him. Ron Paul, yes, Santorum, no. His way-out-there comments on contraception, etc., don't seem as way-out-there to the repugs.

The crazy rants on social issues are quite deliberate, IMO, and drive the focus to where Santorum best stacks up for repugs - social issues. The economy, electability, and inevitability needed to be taken out of focus, as far as Santorum is concerned, and he has done that to a good extent.

Now lay off my man Rick while I don my sweater vest and vote for him Tuesday.