http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/...f=politics
The 2012 presidential campaign is underway. There are some — including many voters — who will refuse to focus on 2012 until, oh, that very year.
But for political deal-makers and junkies, there is already much to consider. In less than six months, for example, as many as a dozen Republicans will crowd onto a stage for the first major debate of the campaign, their eyes on the G.O.P. nomination and the opportunity to face President Obama.
Already, the potential candidates are warily keeping track of polls that suggest that it will be no easy task to knock off the president, despite the many political challenges Mr. Obama has struggled to overcome in the past two years.
A recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll found that the president would defeat all of the potential challengers the poll listed, if the election were held today. And that was before the president’s recent string of accomplishments in the lame-duck session of Congress — in a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll released on Wednesday, 56 percent of Americans said they supported how Mr. Obama had handled the lame-duck session. Those numbers remind the Republican hopefuls that defeating an incumbent president is never an easy task.